Another government shutdown article – what home buyers and sellers should know

Housing Market

Yes, another column about the federal government shutdown (like you need to read another column about the shutdown, right?). Although it is expected that the majority of home purchases won’t be affected by the shutdown, home buyers and sellers should be on their toes to avoid possible pitfalls; buyers and sellers should be aware of what could affect their purchase/sale. And even if both houses of Congress agree to some continuing resolution before publication, the shutdown information could be useful during the next budget battle (which is likely to occur in about two weeks).

Many experts agree that the government shutdown won’t last long. Regardless, there is a consensus that the longer the shutdown continues, the potential increases to impair the housing market. Additionally, some experts expect the shutdown to dovetail into an anticipated bitter debt ceiling battle later this month.

It has been widely acknowledged that the recovering housing market has been a major contributor to the 2% GDP growth. Economists have agreed that it would be logical to maintain government functions that compliment and support the still fragile housing recovery.

However, regardless of what you hear; the shutdown will certainly affect the housing market. Some mortgage originations and closings will be affected, and some buyer activity may be put on hold until the government shutdown ends (like the sequester). Although there appears to be a commitment to maintain FHA and VA loan operations during shutdown, new loan processing may experience delays (Federal department shutdown contingency plans can be viewed on Whitehouse.gov).

FHA’s (Department of Housing and Urban Development) contingency plan states that: “The Office of Single Family Housing will endorse new loans under current multi-year appropriation authority in order to support the health and stability of the U.S. mortgage market. (FHA endorsements currently represent 15% of the market.) Approximately 80% of FHA loans are endorsed by lenders with delegated authority. The remaining 20% are endorsed through the FHA Homeownership Centers, leveraging FHA staff with a contractor that works on-site.”

The VA’s (Department of Veteran Affairs) contingency plan states that during 1995-96 government shutdown, “Loan Guaranty certificates of eligibility and certificates of reasonable value were delayed.” However, learning from that experience, the shutdown contingency plans indicate that there will be 95% of employees who are either fully funded or required to perform “excepted” functions.

Conventional loans should be unaffected as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac operations continue through the shutdown; Fannie and Freddie operations depend on lender paid fees.

Unlike shutdowns in the past (the last Federal shutdown was 1995-96), approximately 90% of all current mortgages in the country are insured, guaranteed, and/or purchased by federal entities. During the last shutdown, a thriving private sector mortgage industry existed; private investor groups that purchased mortgages on the secondary market, as well as many portfolio lenders (lenders that keep and service loans they originate) offered alternatives to home buyers. During the last shutdown, home buyers who were unable to obtain or wait for government loan approval, had other options for financing that included “Alt-A” and sub-prime mortgage programs that seem to not widely exist today.

If you are planning to settle on a home in the next few days, confirm with your lender that there are no delays. If you are in the process of looking for a home, check with your loan officer about a reasonable closing date before you enter into a sales contract.

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Disclaimer.  This article is not intended to provide nor should it be relied upon for legal and financial advice. Readers should not rely solely on the information contained herein, as it does not purport to be comprehensive or render specific advice.  Readers should consult with an attorney regarding local real estate laws and customs as they vary by state and jurisdiction.  Using this article without permission is a violation of copyright laws.

By Dan Krell
Copyright © 2013

Dual agency debate continues; revealing results from recent real estate research

by Dan Krell © 2013
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home salesUnderstanding representation in a real estate transaction can sometimes be tricky. You might think, after all, “If I work with a real estate agent, they represent me.” Not so fast; understanding whom real estate agents represent can be confusing in some situations, most notable is the concept of dual agency.

Maryland, like many other jurisdictions around the country, allows for dual agency. “The possibility of dual agency,” as described on the Maryland Real Estate Commission website (www.dllr.state.md.us/license/mrec/mrecrep.shtml), “…arises when the buyer’s agent and the seller’s agent both work for the same real estate company, and the buyer is interested in property listed by that company. The real estate broker or the broker’s designee, is called the “dual agent.” Dual agents do not act exclusively in the interests of either the seller or buyer, and therefore cannot give undivided loyalty to either party. There may be a conflict of interest because the interests of the seller and buyer may be different or adverse” [emphasis added].

Dual agency has been widely debated since its inception. And as the industry rapidly transforms, the issue is likely to continue to be a hot topic; for example, as real estate teams have become more prevalent in the marketplace, many argue that the potential for conflicts of interest in dual agency transactions becomes increasingly significant.

In his February 2010 Agbeat.com article (February 16, 2010; The Age Old Dual Agency in Real Estate Debate), Patrick Flynn states that although dual agency is legal in many jurisdictions, “…dual Agency is the ultimate no win scenario. Even if all parties agree in writing (and if you explained the likely pitfalls and risks to both parties…they never would agree) you simply cannot perform your prescribed duties…

He continues to say that although there is potential for damage and irreparable harm to those involved in a dual agency transaction, most of these transactions close “without a hitch;” and the agent’s attention moves from common sense and integrity to the “little devil” on their shoulder that tells them, “Look at all the money you made!

Recent research, investigating whether dual agency transactions are a result of agent incentives (e.g., money) or efficiency, suggests that the issue deserves further investigation to understand (among other things) the effects of dual agency, potential for conflicts, and to determine if buyers and sellers are poorly informed. Regardless, Brastow & Waller conclude in their 2013 study (Dual agency representation: Incentive conflicts or efficiencies? The Journal of Real Estate Research, 35(2), 199-222) that dual agency is more likely to occur at the beginning and end of a listing contract. When a dual agency sale occurs at the beginning of a listing, they conclude that it is a result of agent incentive and results in an efficient quick sale. However, when a dual agency sale occurs at the end of a listing contract it is usually due to agent incentive (e.g., avoiding loss of sale) and the home is more likely to sell for less.

Locally, the Maryland Real Estate Commission requires that real estate licensees, who are assisting you, provide disclosures describing agency relationships (including dual agency) “at the time of the first scheduled face to face contact with you.” Your agent can assist you in understanding dual agency, when it occurs, the potential issues of dual agency, as well as what should happen if you decide to not agree to dual agency.

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Disclaimer.  This article is not intended to provide nor should it be relied upon for legal and financial advice. Readers should not rely solely on the information contained herein, as it does not purport to be comprehensive or render specific advice.  Readers should consult with an attorney regarding local real estate laws and customs as they vary by state and jurisdiction.  This article was originally published the week of September 9, 2013 (Montgomery County Sentinel). Using this article without permission is a violation of copyright laws. Copyright © 2013 Dan Krell.

Are home prices really rising as fast as reported; how accurate are the home price indices

Home Prices

All major home price indices point to rising home prices, and a few are reporting some very large percentage increases for a limited number of metro areas.  But as home price indices are reporting price gains, why are some home sellers getting push back from buyers on price; are home prices really rising as fast as they are reported to be?

Home price data through June used in the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (spindices.com) released August 23rd indicated a second quarter National Index increase of 7.1%, while a 2.2% increase was reported during June in the 10-City and 20-City Composites.  Areas around the country that experienced the largest decreases in home prices have also experienced the highest price gains in the last 12 months.  Take for example the Phoenix metro area, where home prices increased 37.1% from the low in 2011.  Locally, however, the Washington DC metro area prices increased 1% in June (compared to a 2% rise in May).

Additionally, the House Price Index (HPI) published by Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) indicated that home prices rose 2.1% nationally during the second quarter (fhfa.gov).  And although the HPI is up 7.2% compared to the second quarter of last year, the seasonally adjusted monthly index was up 0.7% in June.  Seasonally adjusted home prices for the Silver Spring-Frederick-Rockville, MD metro area indicate a decrease of 0.92% in the last quarter in light of the 4.63% one year increase; and a decrease of 1.1% in the last five years, compared to a 132.65% increase since 1991!

Something’s happening in the housing market, and experts are trying to explain what appears to be moderating home sale prices in an improving (and sometimes described as a “hot”) market.  David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices stated that “Overall, the [recent] report shows that housing prices are rising but the pace may be slowing. Thirteen out of twenty cities saw their returns weaken from May to June. As we are in the middle of a seasonal buying period, we should expect to see the most gains. With interest rates rising to almost 4.6%, home buyers may be discouraged and sharp increases may be dampened.”…“Other housing news is positive, but not as robust as last spring. Starts and sales of new homes continue to lag the stronger pace set by existing homes…”

Some explain the recent modest home sale price growth as an effect of distressed home sales.  Some experts hypothesize that the deep discounts paid for distressed homes since the financial crises and housing market crash have skewed home price indices lower than they would have been if the indices only accounted for non-distressed home sales; while home price gains in the last year might be more modest using only non-distressed home sales.   This has been an intuitive and viable explanation such that the FHFA published in August a Working Paper (Doerner & Leventis; Distressed Sales and the FHFA House Price Index) on the effects of distressed home sales on the HPI.  Although the data in this study was limited to two cities, the results are nonetheless remarkable and revealing.

The moderation of recent home sale prices, along with the findings of the FHFA Working Paper, underscore the importance in consulting with a real estate professional to compile and review neighborhood comps before deciding on the sale price of your home.

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By Dan Krell
Copyright © 2013

This article is not intended to provide nor should it be relied upon for legal and financial advice. Using this article without permission is a violation of copyright laws.

A glimpse into home buyer and seller behaviors

homes for sale

Buying and selling a home can be one of the most expensive and complex transactions you may undertake in your lifetime. Many are increasingly seeking assistance from real estate agents; according to the Highlights of the 2012 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers (realtor.org), eighty-nine percent of home buyers purchased their home through a real estate agent (a substantial increase from the sixty-one percent who indicated they purchased through an agent in 2001), while eighty-eight percent of sellers listed with an agent.

If you plan to hire a real estate agent, conventional wisdom dictates that you should interview several before choosing an agent. However, the logic is countered by the survey results. Approximately two-thirds of home buyers and sellers only contacted one agent. Additionally, a majority of buyers and sellers reported that the top means of finding their real estate agent was through a referral from a friend or family member. Forty percent of home buyers and thirty-eight percent of sellers found their agent through a referral from a family member or friend. First time home buyers were most reliant on their friends’ and family members’ referrals.

Repeat business was also a frequent way indicated in choosing a real estate agent. Although ninety percent of home buyers and eight-four percent of sellers reported that they would work with their agent again in the future; only twenty-three percent of home sellers and ten percent of buyers reported that they had worked with their agent in the past.

The internet is increasingly viewed as an important source of information for home buyers. Ninety percent of buyers surveyed indicated that they used the internet for their home search; the percentage rose to ninety-six for buyers under the age of 44.

Ultimately, your home purchase or sale falls upon the experience and skill of the agent you hire. Because of the increase in specialized transactions (such as short sales, 1031 exchanges, etc), it is probably a good idea to find out if the agent has the experience if your purchase or sale falls in this category.

A recent research study by Bennie Waller and Ali Jubran (“The Impact of Agent Experience on the Real Estate Transaction.” Journal of Housing Research 21, no. 1 (2012): 67-82) highlights the notion that an experienced agent can yield a better result than an inexperienced agent. They concluded that hiring a “veteran” agent will have a positive effect on your home sale. The data indicates that “rookie” agents, those who have had their real estate license two years or less, sell homes for less, take longer to sell homes, and are less efficient during the process.

Asking friends and family for referrals as well as calling the agent you previously worked with is a good way to find a real estate agent. However, vetting out potential issues can be achieved by asking the right questions before you hire them.

Regardless of how you find your real estate agent, it is probably a good idea to find out more about them. A conversation about their experience, knowledge, and expertise is probably a good way to start. Additionally, knowledge about the local market is extremely important these days as market trends have become hyper-local. Not understanding the neighborhood market can lead an agent to over or under price a home.

by Dan Krell
© 2013

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This article is not intended to provide nor should it be relied upon for legal and financial advice. Using this article without permission is a violation of copyright laws. Copyright © 2013 Dan Krell.

Home buyer’s privacy

Buyer InformationIn a time when there is increasing concerned about personal privacy, maybe it’s time for local Realtor® associations (such as the Greater Capital Area Association of Realtors®) to retire the Buyer’s Financial Information Sheet, or at least make major revisions to the form. The Buyer’s Financial Information Sheet is an invitation for abuse and misuse by those who may otherwise be well intentioned.

Sure, privacy laws have been recently enacted that prescribe protocols on the handling and disposal of sensitive personal information. However, there are no provisions to ensure that real estate brokers, agents, and those who have access to the personal data follow such precautions.

If you ask a real estate broker about the origination of the Buyer’s Financial Information Sheet, they might explain how agents needed a means to pre-qualify buyers in a time when loan officers’ pre-qualification letters had little meaning on their own. The tradition of a completed form portrays the buyer’s ability to purchase a home. Legal minds might go further to explain that the form may provide additional recourse for the home seller in case the buyer provides misleading and/or false information, and/or omits relevant information about their financial standing.

Today, many home buyers are pushing back (and rightly so) at the request to provide an abundance of specific financial and personal information to their agents, listing agents and sellers. For many home buyers, the resistance to sharing personal and financial information is not only because of discretion, but mainly because they feel the sharing of the information is redundant and ineffectual. Many home buyers have already provided similar (if not more) information to their loan officer so as to be issued a pre-qualification letter. Additional concerns include the use of buyer financial information to during contract negotiations.

Times change, and it’s time to take home buyer financial information out of the hands of real estate agents. The argument that sellers want to see the buyer’s ability to purchase is antiquated. Today, mortgage originators are licensed and take seriously approvals that are issued because consumers may have recourse; the loan officer usually performs a minimal level of due diligence.

Mortgage originators are required to undergo a federal and state criminal background checks for licensing. Additionally, lenders offer training on managing and disposing sensitive personal information; many lenders offer secure means of electronic transmission of sensitive data. Chances are that the agents involved in your transaction did not undergo a recent background check, much less the seller. But if you are asked to complete said form, you are expected to trust those who may handle and view it.

Additional problems that can occur when presented with the Buyer’s Financial Information Sheet include the compulsion by listing agents and home sellers to underwrite the buyer’s mortgage; they may indulge in deciding whether or not the buyer is mortgage worthy when they may be unqualified to do so. Additionally, listing agents and sellers are tempted to use the buyer’s financial information in negotiations; misguided sellers may regrettably lose a deal when they are told to hold out for a higher price from a buyer who may walk away from negotiation.

Protect home buyers and sellers: retire or change the Buyer’s Financial Information Sheet. Cash buyers can still provide proof of funds to purchase, while other buyers can provide a lender’s letter along with a “Buyer’s Financial Affidavit” that certifies that all information provided to their lender is accurate.

Original published at https://dankrell.com/blog/2013/08/21/home-buyers-privacy-an-argument-to-retire-the-financial-information-sheet/

By Dan Krell
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This article is not intended to provide nor should it be relied upon for legal and financial advice. Using this article without permission is a violation of copyright laws. Copyright ©2013 Dan Krell.