home sale Archives - Real Estate News and Commentary

December 13, 2018December 13, 2018

Home market value

It’s normal for homeowners to wonder about their home market value. After all, home sales and prices have been making headlines for well over a decade. But you certainly can’t get a home market value from a headline, nor can you assume it from a neighbor’s sale. The reality is that your home market value could vary depending on whom and when you ask.

A timely and important review article by Michael Sanders recently published in the Appraisal Journal asks the question “what does Market Value Mean?” (Market Value: What Does It Really Mean?; Appraisal Journal. Summer2018, 86:3, p206-218). The article correctly points out that determining “market value” can realize different results depending on the scope and purpose of the appraisal. You can see how this might be problematic if you’re trying to determine a home’s value when divorcing or trying to sell an estate property. Some mortgage lenders even have different value criteria depending on the loan product and purpose.

Sanders suggests that “market value” undergoes scrutiny when valuations are difficult and appraisals are questioned (e.g., during a recession). However, having a discussion about the meaning of “market value” now, when there is relative market stability, is probably meaningful for the industry and consumers. Interestingly, the semantics of “market value” have changed through the years, and ultimately depends on the application. He points out at least twelve similar but different legal definitions of “market value.”

Sanders suggests that Richard Radcliff, an appraisal pioneer of the 1960’s, was ahead of his time by advocated for most probable price valuations. An ongoing debate in appraisal circles is whether “market value” is the highest price or probable price. However, it wasn’t until the 1980’s when appraisal articles academically contemplated the association of “probable sale price” and “market value.”

Sanders quotes Richard Ratcliff saying, “appraisal is largely the predicting of human behavior under given market conditions.” Sanders quips about an “ideal world”, where “appraisers would apply market value definitions using a relatively consistent and objective standard, and reflect conditions in the market as they exist, rather than how others might wish them to be.”

Although the accepted dictionary definition of “market value” is the price a buyer is willing to pay for your home, market value and sale price could be different (and often is). And according to Sanders, an appraised “market value” isn’t necessarily the price for which your home may sell.

At this point you may be asking yourself, “how much is my home really worth?” For the answer, you may have to ask a Realtor.

Realtors use market data to prepare comparative market analyses (CMA) that can help buyers and sellers decide on a sale price. Although a CMA is not an appraisal, it is a technical and methodical professional analysis that provides a snapshot of the market. The CMA is typically more refined in scope than an appraisal, such that it is usually limited to a neighborhood and home criteria. Additionally, depending on the location and availability of comparable sales, it can provide a 30, 60, and 90-day probable sale price range based on market trends.

If you’re planning a home sale, a Realtor’s CMA may be your best source of information to decide on a listing price. Even mortgage lenders have relied on Realtor CMA’s, in the form of Broker Price Opinions, to help decide on sale prices for short sales and bank owned homes.

Original published at https://dankrell.com/blog

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Disclaimer. This article is not intended to provide nor should it be relied upon for legal and financial advice. Readers should not rely solely on the information contained herein, as it does not purport to be comprehensive or render specific advice. Readers should consult with an attorney regarding local real estate laws and customs as they vary by state and jurisdiction. Using this article without permission is a violation of copyright laws.

November 17, 2018

Home sale renovations

According to the National Association of Realtors (nar.realtor), the average time a homeowner stays in their home is ten years. This is higher than the seven-year average prior to the great recession (but is less than the thirteen-year average immediately following the recession). Needless to say, many homeowners are approaching (or have exceeded) their ten-year stint, and are likely selling their home during the spring and will likely be doing home sale renovations.

Any home sale preparation in today’s housing market should include some home sale renovations. If you haven’t replaced the home’s systems (such as the roof or HVAC) while you lived in your home, there’s a good chance that they are approaching or have exceeded their average life expectancy.

Additionally, the décor and fixtures in your home are likely outdated. The home sellers who make the mistake of not updating or renovating before they list inevitably face home inspection issues. They ultimately find that the home takes longer to sell at a reduced price.

Let’s face it, remodeling can be expensive and overwhelming, especially when it’s for home sale renovations. According to the NAR’s 2017 Remodeling Impact Report, about $340 billion was spent on remodeling projects in 2015. Although a majority of homeowners would remodel their home themselves, thirty-five percent would prefer to move instead of remodeling their home.

The Report cited functionality and livability as the top reasons for home sale renovations. It’s a no-brainer that home buyers prefer homes that are functional, comfortable, and sustainable. Aesthetics is not enough for a home to be appealing to today’s home buyer, it has to fit their life style. Additionally, home buyers want efficient systems in their new homes that can help save on utility costs.

Home sale renovations should focus on functionality and livability

What projects will get buyers who will pay top dollar into your home? It should be no surprise that the number one interior project, listed by the 2017 Remodeling Impact Report, is a complete kitchen renovation. Other essential interior projects include renovating bathrooms, installing new wood flooring, creating a new master suite, replacing the HVAC system, and finishing a basement or attic.

It also shouldn’t be a surprise that the Report listed replacing the roof as the top exterior project. Other exterior projects in high demand include new windows, new garage door, new siding, and installing a new front door.

If you want to add value to your home, even if it’s not for home sale renovations, check the 2018 Cost vs. Value report (costvsvalue.com). The report can give you insight to which remodeling projects are the most popular, and estimates how much of the cost you can potentially reclaim when you sell your home.

There’s no doubt that renovating your home can be expensive. Although the costs of home sale renovations can tempt you to cut corners, don’t. Cutting corners on renovation projects can actually cost you more. You may have to repair, or even re-do the project if not finished adequately. Home buyers are savvy, and can spot low quality materials and poor workmanship.

Also, make sure to get permits when required. If the home buyer doesn’t ask you, the home inspector will likely recommend that the home buyer check for permits.

Although many homeowners don’t mind a DIY project, many hire home improvement professionals. When hiring home improvement professionals, check with the Maryland Home Improvement Commission (dllr.state.md.us/license/mhic) to ensure they are licensed contractors. You should also ask for proof of their insurance, including Workman’s Comp insurance, in case there is an accident on your property while completing the project.

If you hire a contractor who will accept payment when the house sells, read your contract carefully and thoroughly. Do your due diligence. There may be provisions in your contract that you may not be aware of, such as added costs, charging interest, and setting/lowering the sale price.

Original article is published at https://dankrell.com/blog/2018/11/17/home-sale-renovations

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November 1, 2018

Buyer and seller attitudes about real estate market

Economists are officially pessimistic about the housing market. This is the general sentiment following another month of declining home sales. Experts are pointing to a number of factors for the slowdown, including increased interest rates and housing affordability. But what are home buyer and seller attitudes about real estate? The National Association of Realtors’ most recent Housing Opportunities and Market Experience survey hints at a busy spring!

Economic attitudes about real estate market

An October 19^th NAR news release (nar.realtor) reported that September’s home sales were the weakest in several years. The nationwide trend affected all regions. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun stated:

“This is the lowest existing home sales level since November 2015…A decade’s high mortgage rates are preventing consumers from making quick decisions on home purchases. All the while, affordable home listings remain low, continuing to spur underperforming sales activity across the country.”

First-time-home-buyers are finding the housing market increasingly challenging. This segment’s participation needs to be strong for a healthy home sales. September’s low thirty-two percent first-time-home-buyer participation is attributed to rising interest rates and home prices.

But low housing inventory is also an issue. September’s housing inventory decreased to 1.88 million existing homes available for sale (from the 1.91 available during the previous month). NAR President Elizabeth Mendenhall stated:

“Despite small month over month increases, the share of first-time buyers in the market continues to underwhelm because there are simply not enough listings in their price range.”

Economists at Fannie Mae believe that the housing market will continue to disappoint. In an October 18^th press release (fanniemae.com) Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan stated:

“Our expectations for housing have become more pessimistic. Rising interest rates and declining housing sentiment from both consumers and lenders led us to lower our home sales forecast over the duration of 2018 and through 2019. Meanwhile, affordability, especially for first-time homebuyers, remains atop the list of challenges facing the housing market.”

But what do economists really know about the future? Let’s hear it directly from the consumer!

Home buyer and seller attitudes about real estate

NAR’s Housing Opportunities and Market Experience survey tracks opinions from renters and homeowners about homeownership, economy, and the housing market. The release of their third quarter 2018 survey indicates that sixty-three percent of respondents strongly or moderately believe that it’s a good time to buy a home. Although optimism is somewhat diminished from the second quarter’s survey, there continues to be a positive sentiment about buying a home. The survey’s positive sentiment continues even though a majority of respondents believed that home prices will continue to increase in the immediate six months. Additionally, a majority of respondents believe that qualifying for a mortgage may be an obstacle to a home purchase.

The survey also concurs with other metrics indicating high consumer sentiment for the economy. In light of the recent slide in home sales, NAR’s recent Housing Opportunities and Market Experience survey reveals “a near-record high of sixty percent of households believe that the economy is improving.” Adding to the strong sentiment is the survey’s increased monthly Personal Financial Outlook Index, which indicates that respondents believe that their financial situation will be better in six months.

The survey also indicates a record high of home sellers who believe it is a good time to sell a home. But given the seasonal decline of housing inventory, it is likely this will translate to a surge of home listings in the spring. The added inventory combined with high consumer sentiment will boost the housing market. So sayeth the consumer.

Original located at https://dankrell.com/blog/2018/11/01/attitudes-real-estate-market/

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October 3, 2018October 26, 2018

Winter home sale profits

If you are planning to sell next spring, don’t wait! Consider a winter home sale. A National Association of Realtors survey indicates that a surge of home sale inventory is on the horizon. The NAR third quarter Housing Opportunities and Market Experience survey indicated that 77 percent of Americans believe it to be a good time to sell (Homeowners Ready to Sell in the Third Quarter of 2018, says Realtor Survey; September 25, 2018; nar.realtor)! This happens to be a record high for the survey. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun believes that the strong sentiment is due to recent home price appreciation. He stated:

“Though the vast majority of consumers believe home prices will continue to increase or hold steady, they understand the days of easy, fast gains could be coming to an end. Therefore, more are indicating that it is a good time to sell, which is a healthy shift in the market.“

A winter home sale has less seller competition

The housing market conditions are such that we are on the verge of experiencing a déjà vu. Two years ago, winter home sales were fueled by rising mortgage interest rates, low inventory and pent up demand. As I predicted in a November 2016 column, rising interest rates and pent up demand were credited for the almost 10 percent jump in home sales by the end of January 2017! The massive jump in home sales occurred during the deep winter, when existing home sale inventory dropped about one-third of the summer inventory. Sellers who had a winter home sale during 2016-17 were greeted by eager home buyers and faced little competition.

Fast forward to 2018. Yes, admittedly, home sales have slightly dropped off during summer. But many are attributing this phenomenon to the lack of inventory. Consider that Montgomery County existing single-family home sale inventory was almost 20 percent lower than that of the summer of 2016. Although summer home sales dropped off, indicators point to a hot winter housing market. Moderating home prices, combined with pent up buyer demand and a strong economy could make a winter home sale ideal.

It’s clear that home buyers facing rising interest rates have taken a pause. But as rates approach 5 percent, positive economic sentiment is lessening the shock and many are planning to buy before rates creep higher. Giving perspective to the mortgage rate hysteria, current mortgage rates are about the same as they were during 2014. Additionally, the last time we saw mortgage rates above 5 percent was in 2010. Rates exceeded 6 percent when home sales broke records during the market buildup of 2006.

Current sentiment is good for a winter home sale

Another indicator that a winter home sale may be primed is the most recent Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index (No Thanks to Housing, Home Purchase Sentiment Edges Up; fanniemae.com; August 2018). Home buyer sentiment increased the first time since May. Economists attribute this uptick to a strong economy along with the awareness of the recent market slowdown. The job and income related index components increased significantly indicating that buyers feel financially more secure with a home purchase. There is also a belief that home prices may moderate due to the summer sales slump.

Winter home sales tend to have less competition and serious home buyers. As I said in 2016, don’t wait until spring to sell your home! If you wait until spring to list your home, you’ll be faced with a profusion of seller competition.

Original located at https://dankrell.com/blog/2018/10/03/winter-home-sale-profits/

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September 20, 2018December 11, 2018

The copious home sale contract

If you’ve recently bought or sold a home in Montgomery County MD, you probably recognized that the home sale contract was quite lengthy. In fact, depending on the situation and additional addenda, a contract can be fifty-plus pages. It seems as if that the home sale contract gets fatter as every year passes. It’s no wonder why I am often asked “Why are home sale contracts long winded?”

Why is our home sale contract so long? Our local home sale contract has a number of required addenda and disclosures. There is a simple reason for this, but let’s look at the foundation and need for the contract.

It’s important to mention that property sale contracts around the country are not the same. Every jurisdiction has their own criteria for a home sale contract. A recent client who relocated from New Jersey shared their home sale contract, which was a fraction of the size of our local contract. Likewise, a colleague asserted the same about the property contracts in Arizona, where he was licensed for a number of years.

Property sale contracts go back into antiquity. Most likely, ancient contracts formed a basis of ancient record keeping. These ancient contracts were also “promises” that were enforced in some manner that was keeping with the time. For example, The History Blog (thehistoryblog.com) tells the account of the Mogao Caves which are located in the Gobi Desert and date back to the fourth century. One of the caves held a cache of financial documents from medieval China, including property sale contracts and records!

According to the legal historian A. W. B. Simpson, modern English contract law has roots in the middle ages (A History of the Common Law of Contract: The Rise of the Action of Assumpsit; Clarendon Press; 1987). The contract was founded in the concept of “assumpsit,” which was the basis for resolving “broken promises.” Assumpsit allowed individuals to bring claims of broken promises to local courts. Although the practice was traced back to the thirteenth century, court hearings were routine in the sixteenth century. This model became the basis for enforcing a private contract.

It wasn’t until 1677 when the English Parliament enacted “An Act for the Prevention of Frauds and Perjuries,” known today as the Statute of Frauds. According to Russell Decker, the Parliament enacted the law that required contracts to be written, because parties obliged by a contract were not allowed to provide testimony in court (The Repeal of the Statute of Frauds in England; American Business Law Journal; 1973; 11:1 p55). The written contract was the “witness” to a promise. However, most of the Statute of Frauds was mostly repealed in England in 1954.

The Statute of Frauds is still alive and well in the US and the basis for the real estate contract in Maryland. Statute of Frauds is a subtitle of the Real Property Act of the Code of Maryland. Section 5-104 Executory Contracts states: “No action may be brought on any contract for the sale or disposition of land or of any interest in or concerning land unless the contract on which the action is brought, or some memorandum or note of it, is in writing and signed by the party to be charged or some other person lawfully authorized by him.”

So ok, home sale contracts need to be in writing, but why are our contracts lengthy? The reason is because many of the addenda and disclosures are generated because of statutory requirements to provide specific information in a contract of sale. Besides the expected list of notices and disclosures (such as property condition), there is a compendium of additional required notices and disclosures that is found in Code of Maryland Miscellaneous subtitle of the Real Property Act section 14-117 Contracts for Sale of Property. Additionally, jurisdictions around the state include additional addenda and notices for home sales within the respective county and/or locality. Of course, Montgomery County has added a number of disclosures and notices (such as the Utility Cost and Usage History Form and the Real Property Estimated Tax).

Make sure your agent is knowledgeable about the jurisdiction in which you are buying or selling. As a buyer, you need to make sure you receive all the relevant notices and disclosures. As a seller, you may incur a fine for non-disclosure of certain notices.

Original published at https://dankrell.com

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